Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.026287 0.028575 0.030969 0.033662 0.036609 0.039738 0.043313
2025-07-20 0.022472 0.025757 0.029394 0.033725 0.038751 0.044410 0.051279
2025-07-27 0.020084 0.023943 0.028397 0.033933 0.040649 0.048557 0.058609
2025-08-03 0.018116 0.022289 0.027272 0.033684 0.041747 0.051597 0.064606
2025-08-10 0.016830 0.021279 0.026748 0.033999 0.043410 0.055281 0.071495
2025-08-17 0.015448 0.019999 0.025737 0.033549 0.043972 0.057497 0.076529
2025-08-24 0.014223 0.018808 0.024723 0.032967 0.044249 0.059268 0.080987
2025-08-31 0.013267 0.017891 0.023983 0.032663 0.044820 0.061399 0.085991
2025-09-07 0.012447 0.017092 0.023333 0.032410 0.045402 0.063525 0.091058
2025-09-14 0.011748 0.016409 0.022788 0.032246 0.046066 0.065757 0.096364
2025-09-21 0.011048 0.015677 0.022123 0.031853 0.046346 0.067416 0.100877
2025-09-28 0.010590 0.015261 0.021874 0.032035 0.047458 0.070326 0.107420
2025-10-05 0.010071 0.014748 0.021486 0.032030 0.048356 0.073068 0.114059
2025-10-12 0.009614 0.014303 0.021175 0.032128 0.049422 0.076146 0.121472
2025-10-19 0.009222 0.013932 0.020949 0.032331 0.050651 0.079531 0.129594
2025-10-26 0.008755 0.013415 0.020466 0.032095 0.051149 0.081758 0.135917
2025-11-02 0.008452 0.013135 0.020331 0.032394 0.052517 0.085461 0.144967
2025-11-09 0.008007 0.012606 0.019771 0.031967 0.052647 0.087095 0.150516
2025-11-16 0.007570 0.012064 0.019161 0.031415 0.052523 0.088274 0.155310
2025-11-23 0.007219 0.011643 0.018725 0.031126 0.052821 0.090179 0.161514
2025-11-30 0.006902 0.011263 0.018333 0.030886 0.053181 0.092198 0.168041
2025-12-07 0.006622 0.010930 0.018002 0.030731 0.053675 0.094468 0.175170
2025-12-14 0.006320 0.010545 0.017563 0.030357 0.053748 0.095969 0.180912